Name: Behavioral Decision Theory: A new Approach
Price: 178.77 EUR
Availability: InStock
Author: Poulton, E. C.
ISBN: 9780521443685

portada Behavioral Decision Theory: A new Approach

Behavioral Decision Theory: A new Approach

Type

Physical Book

Author

E. C. Poulton

Publisher

Cambridge University Press

Year

1994

Language

English

Pages

336

Format

Hardcover

Dimensions

23.1 x 16.3 x 2.1 cm

Weight

0.64 kg.

ISBN

0521443687

ISBN13

9780521443685

Edition No.

Synopsis "Behavioral Decision Theory: A new Approach "

This book discusses the well-known fallacies of behavioral decision theory. It shows that while an investigator is studying a fallacy, he or she may introduce without realizing it, one of the simple biases that are found in quantifying judgments. The work covers such fallacies as the apparent overconfidence that people show when they judge the probability of correctness of their answers to two-choice general knowledge questions using a one-sided rating scale; the apparent overconfidence in setting uncertainty bounds on unknown quantities when using the fractile method; the interactions between hindsight and memory; the belief that small samples are as reliable and as representative as are large samples; the conjunction fallacy for Linda and Bill; the causal conjunction fallacy; the regression fallacy in prediction; the neglect of the base rate in the Cab problem, in predicting professions, and in the Medical Diagnosis problem; the availability and simulation fallacies; the anchoring and adjustment biases; Prospect theory; and bias by frames. The aim of this book is to help readers to learn about the fallacies and to avoid them.

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Behavioral Decision Theory: A new Approach - Poulton, E. C.

Synopsis "Behavioral Decision Theory: A new Approach "

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